Ascoli vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
CAT
4 - 6
ASC
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 1
NAP
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASC
47%
29%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 0
INT
28%
30%
42%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
ROM
1 - 1
ASC
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
USC
3 - 0
REG
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
REG
1 - 1
LEC
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
JUV
4 - 1
REG
91%
7%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
REG
0 - 2
SAM
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |