Ascoli vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASC
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASC
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASC
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
BAR
67%
23%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
ATL
45%
31%
23%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
REG
40%
34%
26%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 1
REG
45%
33%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |