Ascoli vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASC
25%
26%
48%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TUT
0 - 0
ASC
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 1
ASC
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 1
SAV
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
4 - 3
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ACP
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 4
TUT
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACP
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |