Ascoli vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PRG
3 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
PON
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 0
ASC
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PIS
2 - 1
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 5
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
PIS
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 0
ACP
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ACP
3 - 3
FRO
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 2
ACP
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ACP
4 - 1
NOC
35%
28%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |