Ascoli vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
26%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
14.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
4 - 2
CAT
61%
27%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASC
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 1
BRE
60%
27%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 0
ASC
44%
31%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
TAR
0 - 0
ASS
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 0
AVE
45%
31%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
TER
1 - 2
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASS
52%
29%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |