Ascoli vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
USF
1 - 0
ASC
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
3 - 0
LEC
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CES
2 - 0
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 1
ASC
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 3
BAR
58%
26%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
TAR
1 - 1
MAN
39%
35%
26%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 1
REG
71%
20%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
COM
1 - 0
MAN
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
68%
22%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |