Ascoli vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
12%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
ASC
2 - 1
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
ASC
3 - 1
BRE
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
PAL
0 - 0
ASC
40%
32%
28%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 2
VIC
41%
31%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
ARZ
2 - 1
SSS
47%
32%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
USC
0 - 0
ARZ
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ASS
47%
32%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
EMP
3 - 2
ARZ
51%
29%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |