Ascoli U19 vs Virtus Entella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
9º
2º
51
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IMC
0 - 1
ASC
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 4
ASC
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 1
PIS
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
ASC
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
BEN
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 1
SPE
39%
24%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 2
VIR
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CCS
1 - 1
VIR
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 3
PES
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |