Ascoli U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
16º
6º
22
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MNP
1 - 0
ASC
16%
18%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
PIS
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PES
1 - 2
ASC
25%
22%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
CRO
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 3
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 3
CRO
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 3
PIS
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
CRO
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |