ASCK Simbach vs TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASCK Simbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TSK
7 - 1
SIM
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
SIM
0 - 6
TSV
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SIM
0 - 3
FRE
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
DJK
3 - 1
SIM
71%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 0
CTR
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
TuS 1860 Pfarrkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TPF
1 - 2
DJK
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
CTR
4 - 3
TPF
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TPF
2 - 1
LAN
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TSV
1 - 2
TPF
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TPF
1 - 4
ERL
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |