ASCK Simbach vs TSV Neuried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASCK Simbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
ERL
3 - 0
SIM
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Neuried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
TSV
0 - 1
DJK
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
TSV
3 - 0
TPF
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
DEI
1 - 1
TSV
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
TSV
4 - 1
FCT
43%
23%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
SVM
1 - 2
TSV
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |