ASCK Simbach vs TSV Grünwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASCK Simbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SIM
0 - 3
FRE
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
DJK
3 - 1
SIM
71%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 0
CTR
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
SIM
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SIM
3 - 1
TSV
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
TSV Grünwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
TSV
2 - 2
DJK
55%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
CTR
1 - 4
TSV
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TSV
1 - 6
LAN
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
TSV
1 - 1
TSV
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
TSV
4 - 2
ERL
48%
23%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |