ASCK Simbach vs Chiemgau Traunstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASCK Simbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
SIM
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SIM
3 - 1
TSV
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
ERL
3 - 0
SIM
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chiemgau Traunstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
CTR
1 - 1
DJK
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
CTR
2 - 2
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 0
CTR
39%
26%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
CTR
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CTR
5 - 0
HOL
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |