ASC San Diego vs Michigan Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASC San Diego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 1
ASD
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
BOB
0 - 1
ASD
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
ASD
3 - 0
GSD
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
ASD
4 - 0
SCF
85%
11%
5%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LAF
2 - 1
ASD
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Michigan Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MSF
1 - 0
LAF
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MSF
3 - 1
CDL
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MSF
0 - 2
BOB
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 3
MSF
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BOB
0 - 0
MSF
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |