Ciucaş Tărlungeni vs Gheorgheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
55.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
10º
10º
4
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 36 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 34 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 33 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 27 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 27 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 27 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 16 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciucaş Tărlungeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAI
5 - 0
ACT
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ACT
0 - 2
PLO
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CET
1 - 0
ACT
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ACT
0 - 3
KTB
16%
22%
63%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ODO
4 - 1
ACT
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gheorgheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PLO
2 - 3
GHE
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GHE
0 - 0
BFC
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ODO
2 - 1
GHE
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GHE
1 - 2
ASF
82%
13%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 5
GHE
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |