ASC 09 Dortmund vs TuS Bovinghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
3º
32
2º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASC 09 Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 3
ASC
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
WIE
0 - 3
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 3
WUP
7%
13%
81%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SVR
2 - 0
ASC
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GIE
0 - 1
ASC
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Bovinghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 1
SVS
28%
21%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 2
TUS
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TUS
3 - 2
SVR
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TUS
0 - 5
SPO
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 1
TUS
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |