Åsane vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
16º
13º
23
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 60 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 37 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 35 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 33 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 32 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 28 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 27 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Åsane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
KON
0 - 5
ASA
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BRY
1 - 0
ASA
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 0
ASA
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ELP
4 - 1
ASA
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 0
BRY
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VIF
5 - 1
MOS
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 0
ELP
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 2
MOS
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 1
IKS
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |