Villers Houlgate CF vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
13º
1º
39
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villers Houlgate CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 1
VHO
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 3
VHO
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
VHO
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 2
VHO
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 3
LEH
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 3
LMU
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 2
CAE
26%
21%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
CAE
66%
17%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIV
3 - 2
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |