Villers Houlgate CF vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
13º
1º
39
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villers Houlgate CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 1
VHO
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 3
VHO
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
VHO
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 2
VHO
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 3
LEH
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 3
LMU
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 2
CAE
26%
21%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
CAE
66%
17%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIV
3 - 2
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |