Varese vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 4
VAR
67%
20%
12%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
BAR
2 - 1
VAR
58%
26%
16%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAL
47%
30%
23%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 1
GEN
44%
30%
27%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
VAR
56%
27%
17%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
VIC
0 - 0
PAL
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ACM
2 - 0
VIC
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
VIC
0 - 0
SAM
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
VER
1 - 1
VIC
42%
30%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASS
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |