Varese vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAR
37%
31%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 0
VER
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
SAM
4 - 0
VAR
49%
29%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 2
JUV
31%
31%
38%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
PIS
1 - 1
VAR
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
VIC
2 - 0
NAP
43%
29%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
ACM
4 - 1
VIC
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
VIC
0 - 0
FIO
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 0
VIC
61%
22%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |