Varese vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 0
VAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
ROM
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAR
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
INT
0 - 0
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 0
CAG
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ACM
0 - 1
VIC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
SAM
0 - 3
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 3
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |