Varese vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
VAR
3 - 0
ASS
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 2
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 0
UDI
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
VNZ
0 - 0
COS
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
PRO
3 - 2
VNZ
44%
28%
27%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
VNZ
0 - 1
UDI
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
VNZ
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |