Varese vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 0
VAR
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAD
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
50%
29%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
PES
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
VAR
44%
32%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
TRI
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
TRI
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |