Varese vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 1
VAR
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 1
VAR
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
TER
67%
22%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEO
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRO
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
GRO
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
REG
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 0
LEO
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 0
GRO
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |