Varese vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
VAR
2 - 1
LAZ
47%
30%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
FIO
1 - 1
VAR
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIC
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 3
INT
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
USF
0 - 0
JUV
28%
31%
42%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
INT
5 - 0
USF
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
USF
1 - 1
VIC
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
SAM
2 - 0
USF
56%
27%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
USF
1 - 1
FIO
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |