Varese vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
55.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
RIM
2 - 1
VAR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
TOR
2 - 2
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
SSS
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 1
TRI
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
USC
2 - 5
ROM
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 2
USC
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
USC
3 - 0
PAD
54%
26%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
TOR
1 - 1
USC
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
USC
2 - 1
REG
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |