Varese vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
16%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 0
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
PIS
2 - 2
VAR
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
COM
55%
27%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
PAL
44%
30%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
LEC
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
COM
2 - 1
USC
55%
28%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
USC
1 - 0
CAG
37%
31%
31%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
USC
66%
23%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |