Varese vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
JUV
4 - 0
VAR
87%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
TAR
3 - 3
VAR
33%
34%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAT
70%
21%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 2
VAR
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
56%
21%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 0
TAR
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
AVE
2 - 1
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |