Varese vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
VAR
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASF
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
FCV
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 1
USA
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 1
USA
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |