Varese vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
34%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACM
18%
27%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
VAR
2 - 0
REG
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 1
VAR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 1
INT
23%
26%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
TOR
1 - 0
AUS
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
TOR
2 - 1
VIC
63%
22%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 2
TOR
34%
31%
35%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
TOR
4 - 0
LIM
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LIM
0 - 1
TOR
15%
24%
61%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |