Varese vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
JUV
3 - 1
VAR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
LAZ
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
BOL
3 - 1
VAR
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 3
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 0
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
CAG
3 - 2
TOR
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
LAZ
1 - 0
TOR
40%
31%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 0
SAM
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |