Varese vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEO
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
PAD
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TER
2 - 2
VIR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TER
0 - 2
VER
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 3
SAS
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |