Varese vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 1
VAR
43%
32%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 3
BAR
49%
29%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PIS
4 - 0
VAR
56%
28%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 0
BOL
39%
34%
27%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
CAT
3 - 3
TAR
62%
25%
13%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 1
CES
38%
34%
28%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 1
TRI
29%
31%
40%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |