Varese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
52%
29%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
BAR
2 - 1
VAR
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
TRI
2 - 1
VAR
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
SSS
0 - 0
EMP
40%
31%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
PES
1 - 0
SSS
55%
27%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 0
CES
43%
33%
25%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 1
PRG
43%
33%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 0
SSS
60%
27%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |