Varese vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
PIS
2 - 2
VAR
46%
30%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
INT
2 - 0
VAR
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
BAR
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
61%
25%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
USC
0 - 0
VAR
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
PAL
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAV
50%
30%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 0
USF
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAV
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
CAV
3 - 1
REG
51%
29%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |