Varese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 2
TRI
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 2
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
ABN
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
4 - 0
VAR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 3
ARZ
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ACL
0 - 4
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 1
ALV
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CES
2 - 3
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIS
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |