Varese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 1
TOR
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
JUV
3 - 1
VAR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 1
LAZ
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
BOL
3 - 1
VAR
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 3
BOL
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ACM
1 - 1
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 1
ROM
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |