Varese vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
VER
3 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
PES
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
REG
2 - 2
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAT
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
USC
0 - 0
VAR
41%
31%
29%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
SAM
0 - 0
LEC
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
SSS
2 - 2
SAM
38%
33%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAV
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
SAM
2 - 1
TOR
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAM
52%
28%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |