Varese vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
CAV
0 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
USF
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
VER
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
PES
1 - 2
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
RIM
3 - 1
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SSS
3 - 0
RIM
46%
31%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
RIM
3 - 1
USC
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 1
RIM
58%
26%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
RIM
0 - 0
CAV
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |