Varese vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
PIS
2 - 1
VAR
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
BAR
54%
28%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SSS
3 - 1
VAR
38%
31%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPA
57%
27%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
RIM
0 - 0
PAL
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
NOC
2 - 0
RIM
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RIM
2 - 1
TAR
53%
29%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
PIS
3 - 1
RIM
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
RIM
1 - 2
CAG
41%
32%
28%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |