Varese vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 1
PAD
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCC
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAT
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAV
0 - 0
REG
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |