Varese vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1959 |
LAZ
3 - 0
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 2
VAR
49%
22%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
UDI
1 - 2
VAR
71%
15%
14%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIG
64%
17%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
VAR
4 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PRO
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEC
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
PRO
4 - 0
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |