Varese vs Potenza SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VER
3 - 1
VAR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 1
VAR
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 1
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 0
VAR
42%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Potenza SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
USF
3 - 1
POT
67%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
POT
1 - 1
PRO
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
POT
1 - 0
CAG
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 2
POT
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
POT
1 - 1
VER
47%
25%
27%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |