Varese vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
LAZ
3 - 2
VAR
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 1
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 3
ASC
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
PIS
0 - 0
PIS
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
CAV
1 - 1
PIS
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |