Varese vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
28.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 0
VAR
59%
26%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 2
SSS
49%
31%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
USF
39%
31%
30%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 1
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
RIM
0 - 0
PIS
37%
32%
31%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 0
PIS
42%
31%
27%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
PIS
3 - 0
BAR
64%
24%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
PIS
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |