Varese vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
RIM
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 3
SAS
55%
25%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 0
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
PIS
45%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SAS
3 - 1
PIS
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 3
CTT
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |