Varese vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2011 |
SIE
5 - 0
VAR
62%
24%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 3
ABN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 0
SAS
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
PIA
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 2
CTT
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |