Varese vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAR
35%
32%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCC
68%
22%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
USF
55%
27%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1969 |
FIO
0 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
32%
32%
36%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PIA
0 - 0
MOD
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 1
PIA
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
TER
0 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
PIA
1 - 1
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
USF
3 - 0
PIA
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |