Varese vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
LAT
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
PES
2 - 2
PRG
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 2
PES
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
LEO
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
PES
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
MOD
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |