Varese vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
LEC
4 - 0
VAR
49%
30%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PRG
4 - 1
VAR
47%
32%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
29%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
PES
1 - 1
SSS
55%
27%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 0
PES
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PIS
2 - 0
PES
49%
29%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 1
PES
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |